Well last week was a challenging week for those picking against the spread and those who participated in just straight pickem pools/bets. This week promises to be a better week! Remember, there are 3 games on Thursday which all look to be loaded, intriguing match-ups. As always,the 3 of us each will pick 5 games against the spread & give you our rationale for each pick. Enjoy the games this week and the 3 Guys wish you and your family a happy & healthy Thanksgiving!
Zac’s Picks (29-24-2):
NY Jets (-3.5) vs Miami: This game is a must win for the 5-5 Jets if they want any chance to stay in the bunched up AFC Wild Card race. The Dolphins have been playing a disappointing brand of football and despite being a rivalry game, this Sunday won’t be a fun one for the Dolphins.
Carolina (-1) at Dallas: Carolina may be 10-0 this season but they have lost their last 9 regular season meetings against Dallas. The hype surrounding the return of Tony Romo lived up to expectations this past Sunday when the Cowboys topped Miami 24-14. But this game will be a let down for Dallas as Carolina has proven week after week that they are a solid team on all sides of the ball.
NY Giants (-2.5) vs Washington: Eli Manning has been playing at a high level this season on almost a consistent basis. Kirk Cousins has played well at times too, although one never knows which Cousins will show up each week. Washington at home is never an easy task to come away with a victory, no matter how good or bad the Redskins are, but the Giants will do just enough to come away with a win.
**UPSET ALERT** Denver (+3) vs New England: We expected a Peyton Manning- Tom Brady matchup but instead we get treated to Brock Osweiler. The 10-0 Patriots were never really in trouble against the Bills, although the refs tried to change last week’s game as much as they could. However the Pats did suffer countless injuries yet again, this time to Danny Amendola (knee) and Aaron Dobson (ankle). On a short week and traveling to frigid Denver, the Broncos just may pull the upset of the week and send the Patriots home with their first loss.
Houston (-3) vs New Orleans: TJ Yates did a terrific job getting the Texans back to 5-5 with wins over Cincinnati and the NY Jets. Although Brian Hoyer will be back to start this game, he will quickly shake off the rust against the worst defense in the league. In addition to an offense that features DeAndre Hopkins, one of the best WR’s I’ve witnessed in person, the Texans defense also has continued to play well, letting up an average of just 12 points a game the past 3 weeks. Houston will cover the 3 points with a win.
Jose’s Picks (29-26-0):
Carolina (-1) at Dallas: Carolina continues their unbeaten streak, and beating teams like the Packers shows their legitimacy. On the other side of the field is the Dallas Romo… Well, at least they got the W with their QB leading the charge. Romo will be tested as he finally see’s a more for-tamable Defense in the Panthers. I’m taking Carolina’s D on getting to Romo a few times.
St. Louis (+9) at Cincinnati: The Rams are skimping through week by week and showing their weaknesses while doing so. Gurley is strong, but can he carry the team? I see this being closer than Vegas, so that’s why i’m taking the Rams to cover the spread even though they might not take the win.
Tampa Bay (+3) at Indianapolis: Those wild Bucs, huh… Well, Winston is finally showing his progress by winning and the team is looking really good. Defense has been improving on their side of the ball and getting to their opponents faster. Indy is hurt… but Bradshaw show glimpse of his “youth” as he aided the Colts last week. The same CANNOT be said about TY Hilton (who i own in my season long league), who’s only caught 8 catches in the last three weeks. The key of the game focuses on TY and the other WR core getting on the Buc’s 30th rank passing touchdowns allowed.
Kansas City (-5.5) vs Buffalo: The Chiefs are in a 4 game winning streak scoring an average of 32.5 points while allowing 9.75. The Bills suffered some tough injuries with their QB Taylor set as questionable, the Chiefs leading sack squad seems to put a dent into the Rex Ryan’s efforts in winning.
Jacksonville (-4) vs San Diego: San Diego was demolished last week as they were only able to score 3 points against an amazing Chiefs defense. Going against the Jags the Chargers will improve but still fall short. The Jags have improved overall and has shown to be very impressive
Jeremy’s Picks (32-22-1):
Lions (-1) vs Eagles: Chip Kelly, the “genius” could be on his way out of Philly and back to college if he doesn’t figure things out soon. The Lions are actually showing signs of life after cleaning house internally. Might not be the best Thanksgiving game, but its just the appetizer for the rest of the day.
Bears (+9) at Packers: Which Packer team is going to show up on Turkey Day?? I’m guessing a team somewhere in the middle of what we have seen. They just haven’t been the same since the beginning of the season. The Bears on the other hand have been hot as of late, and with Alshon Jeffery and Matt Forte expected to play this week and Langford and Wilson stepping up, I can see this becoming a shootout game. 9 points is a lot for a divisional game on a short week, give Cutler the turkey leg!!
Bucs (+3) at Colts: 5 TD passes from Winston last weekend!! What a performance, even if it was against a bad team. Well, this week they are playing another bad team and are 3 point dogs, which is saying on a neutral site it would be a pick em. I don’t expect a repeat performance, but even a 2 TD day should be able to do the job against Hasselbeck and the Colts.
Giants (-2.5) at Redskins: 2 teams going in the opposite direction. The Giants blew ANOTHER game 2 weeks ago against the undefeated Patriots. The Redskins on the other hand, were absolutely demolished by Cam Newton (the other 5TD performance of the week), and the Panthers. Giants are starting to get a little healthier and clicking in all aspects of the game. The 5-5 record could easily be 8-2. Hopefully they don’t stoop down to the Skins talent level like they tend to do. I can see this game being the start of a run for Big Blue and start to pull away in the division.
Patriots (-3) at Broncos: Both teams will be in the playoffs, but could be limping in. Peyton Manning could be back by then, but that might not be a good thing. The Patriots seem to lose another offensive skill player each week and throw someone else in to do the job, a real case of next man up. Brady got beat up a little last week, so going up against the Broncos this week could be similar with their excellent defense. But Brady and company always find a way to win, and I think the undefeated streak will continue even through the injuries.